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Republicans ready to rumble

Candidates discuss Iraq, immigration; still too early to interest some voters

June 6, 2007
Republican presidential hopeful Sen. John McCain, R-Ariz., left, answers a question, while former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani, right, listens during the Republican presidential primary debate hosted by Saint Anselm College in Manchester, N.H., on Tuesday.

Political analysts said immigration and the war in Iraq would be the most important topics to Republican primary voters.

A majority of Americans feel immigration is an issue that needs to be addressed, said Bill Ballenger, an American government professor at Central Michigan University and editor and publisher of the Lansing-based newsletter Inside Michigan Politics.

"The question is not how far we go, but what we do about the 12-20 million that are already in the country," he said.

The only candidate with a solid immigration record is Sen. John McCain, R-Ariz. He co-sponsored a controversial U.S. Senate bill - one that President Bush supports - which would offer legal status to immigrants in the country. It also would tighten border security.

The only thing that voters know for certain is most of the other candidates oppose the bill, Ballenger said.

"They're all over the map on how to deal with it," he said. "At least the Senate bill is tangible."

The other key issue candidates will flesh out until the caucuses early next year is the war in Iraq.

Democrats have the opportunity to step back and criticize the war, while Republicans must be careful when discussing the subject, said Paul Abramson, a national elections and voter turnout expert and political science professor.

It would be difficult to criticize the way the war has been conducted without criticizing the president, Abramson said.

The candidates also have to consider how the majority of Republican voters feel about the war in Iraq, Ballenger said.

"Most Republicans support the war, or at least don't support withdrawal or timelines," he said.

Candidates will comment on the war, but ultimately will agree the United States should have invaded Iraq and Saddam Hussein had to be removed, Ballenger said. Having the debates this early doesn't have much of an impact on voters, he added.

"Certain candidates may ratchet up their profile and degree of prominence, and earn points with voters," Ballenger said, adding that the long-term effect of the debates will be nil.

The Republican debate would gain the same amount of interest to students as the Democratic one, Abramson said.

"If there was a draft, the war would be an issue of special relevance," he said. "But since there isn't, I don't think it's of any more relevance to students than it is to the general population."

Gauging the effect of the debates on students is tough, said Steve Mitchell, chairman of the Lansing-based Mitchell Research & Communications Inc.

Draft or not, there is a feeling students feel apathetic toward national politics, Mitchell said.

"If young people were involved in politics, then politicians would deal with issues that are important to young people," he said.

Not every young voter feels their voice should fall on deaf ears.

"I've voted in most of the elections since I've been of age," said Nick Stumpos, a computer science senior. "If you look at the majority of people voting, it's going to be upper-middle class white males and females.

"That's where the major vote comes from."


Sam Brownback

Kansas Senator

Age: 51

Top Priority: border security


Jim Gilmore

Former Virginia Governor

Age: 57

Top Priority: stopping illegal immigration


Rudy Giuliani

Former mayor of New York City

Age: 63

Top Priority: improving national security, continuing to fight the war on terrorism


Mike Huckabee

Former Arkansas Governor

Age: 51

Top Priority: making America energy independent within 10 years


Duncan Hunter

California congressman

Age: 59

Top Priority: border security, fighting the war on terror


John McCain

Arizona senator

Age: 70

Top Priority: immigration reform, securing the border


Ron Paul

Texas Congressman

Age: 71

Top Priority: getting tough on oil companies to lower costs at the pump


Mitt Romney

Former Massachusetts Governor

Age: 60

Top Priority: ensuring trade laws are fair in order to remain competitive in Asia


Tom Tancredo

Colorado Congressman

Age: 61

Top Priority: ending immigration, legal or illegal; securing the borders


Tommy Thompson

Former Governor of Wisconsin

Age: 65

Top Priority: health care reform

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